On Corona

They're saying it's a lot deadlier than regular flu, but also acknowledge that this may turn if a lot more people were tested. China has it under control it seems the US is woefully underprepared. It could be not too much worse than flu and still be devastating in the States since their health system is so pathetic and there's no buy-in from half the population. They're going to have a hard time getting hard-nosed Americans to quarantine themselves, the cases are already out where those that should have been in quarantine have been running around in concerts etcetera.

I wouldn't be surprised if in the next six months like half the country had it and it was no big deal. Or if it was mostly well-contained but had caused an unexpectedly large number of casualties. What would be surprising is if it was dealt with professionally and according to the recommendee way. It's possible it might change some things fundamentally, such as taking businesses on the edge out, creating a better buy-in for socialized health-care, and perhaps killing malls and shopping stores even more than online shopping?

My prediction is that by May, we'll be talking about Corona a lot less than we're right now. I'm like 60% certain about that.