I wrote a month away I desperately hoped I wouldn't have to write on the topic again, and this is not a full post, just a pointer that I might have to eat my words.
It's becoming clearer that the 'delta variant' is not as bad, but wayyy more spreading, in places where people have been vaccinated, and the numbers are bound to increase in the US/West for some time. That won't translate to deaths/hospitalizations, and the ones who were not vaccinated the first time around will be way more motivated to get their shots, and eventually things will be under control, it will be like yet another strain.
In poorer countries that cannot vaccinate in enough numbers, or use the less-proven vaccines, the situation will be much worse, and the waves after waves that we're observing won't stop. It'll be more common to get very sick and die, and that'll be a part of everyday calculation. Which will suck but also will make people very much not want to live there and go to better places with, sure shittier people, but at least you're safe from deadly disease etcetera. Years and years of education years will have been wasted, people will be very frustrated and the youth drain to nicer places will rapidly accelerate.
It's not clear I would go to Nepal in the foreseeable future, with the numbers rising at alarming rates, the lockdowns happening in extremely unplanned fashion and over and over again. There's no endgame in sight, only whatever the fuck people decide to do. You have to pay for institutions one way or another. Either you spend resources building them and reaping the benefits, or you pay it through disruptions like these, with extra extra interest. Whaddya gunna do.
Really hope by early 2022 things are better. Yet another wasted year, alas.
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